Probably Football

Matches

Allsvenskan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Djurgardens IF2-2Orgryte IS

The model gave this result 15%. Its most likely result was a Djurgardens IF win (80%).

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS

  1. Djurgardens IF80%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Orgryte IS5%

3.00 expected goals for Djurgardens IF

0.78 expected goals for Orgryte IS

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Djurgardens IF the clear favourite: 80% to win. It expects 3.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals89%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals52%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals33%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.5 for Djurgardens IF and 3.8 for Orgryte IS

  1. Over 8.5 corners55%
  2. Over 9.5 corners44%
  3. Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.7 for Djurgardens IF and 1.8 for Orgryte IS

  1. Over 3.5 cards48%
  2. Over 4.5 cards29%
  3. Over 5.5 cards15%

Shots

27.1 expected

17.9 for Djurgardens IF and 9.2 for Orgryte IS

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots72%
  3. Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

23.9 expected

11.9 for Djurgardens IF and 12.0 for Orgryte IS

  1. Over 20.5 fouls73%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls59%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls44%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.