Rosario Central vs Huracan

Rosario Central48%
Draw31%
Huracan21%

1.30 expected goals for Rosario Central

0.67 expected goals for Huracan

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Rosario Central has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Huracan win at 21%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 42%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
Over 1.5 goals59%It happened
Over 2.5 goals35%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals14%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Both teams score42%
Rosario Central or draw79%
Draw or Huracan52%
No draw69%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.8 for Rosario Central and 4.2 for Huracan

Over 8.5 corners61%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

4.4 expected

1.9 for Rosario Central and 2.5 for Huracan

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

26.5 expected

16.3 for Rosario Central and 10.2 for Huracan

Over 20.5 shots80%
Over 22.5 shots70%
Over 24.5 shots58%

Fouls

23.2 expected

10.8 for Rosario Central and 12.4 for Huracan

Over 20.5 fouls68%
Over 22.5 fouls53%
Over 24.5 fouls39%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.