River Plate vs Racing Club

River Plate49%
Draw29%
Racing Club22%

1.59 expected goals for River Plate

0.89 expected goals for Racing Club

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

River Plate has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Racing Club win at 22%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
Over 1.5 goals71%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals42%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Both teams score46%
River Plate or draw78%
Draw or Racing Club50%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

5.6 for River Plate and 3.8 for Racing Club

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.8 for River Plate and 2.3 for Racing Club

Over 3.5 cards60%
Over 4.5 cards40%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

27.5 expected

18.5 for River Plate and 9.0 for Racing Club

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

23.6 expected

11.1 for River Plate and 12.6 for Racing Club

Over 20.5 fouls71%
Over 22.5 fouls57%
Over 24.5 fouls42%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.