Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia

Argentinos JRS45%
Draw29%
Independ. Rivadavia26%

1.48 expected goals for Argentinos JRS

1.09 expected goals for Independ. Rivadavia

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Argentinos JRS has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Independ. Rivadavia win at 26%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals43%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score48%
Argentinos JRS or draw74%
Draw or Independ. Rivadavia55%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.9 for Argentinos JRS and 4.1 for Independ. Rivadavia

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

4.4 expected

1.8 for Argentinos JRS and 2.6 for Independ. Rivadavia

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

25.8 expected

14.7 for Argentinos JRS and 11.1 for Independ. Rivadavia

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots66%
Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

23.0 expected

10.0 for Argentinos JRS and 13.0 for Independ. Rivadavia

Over 20.5 fouls67%
Over 22.5 fouls52%
Over 24.5 fouls37%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.