Probably Football

Matches

Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Aldosivi1-0Belgrano Cordoba

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Belgrano Cordoba win (42%).

Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba

  1. Aldosivi28%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Belgrano Cordoba42%

0.73 expected goals for Aldosivi

1.51 expected goals for Belgrano Cordoba

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Belgrano Cordoba has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Aldosivi win at 28%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance, and both teams scoring, 43%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals66%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals38%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.3 for Aldosivi and 4.2 for Belgrano Cordoba

  1. Over 8.5 corners57%
  2. Over 9.5 corners46%
  3. Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.9 expected

2.5 for Aldosivi and 2.4 for Belgrano Cordoba

  1. Over 3.5 cards72%
  2. Over 4.5 cards54%
  3. Over 5.5 cards36%

Shots

28.1 expected

14.2 for Aldosivi and 13.9 for Belgrano Cordoba

  1. Over 20.5 shots85%
  2. Over 22.5 shots77%
  3. Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

24.7 expected

12.7 for Aldosivi and 12.0 for Belgrano Cordoba

  1. Over 20.5 fouls78%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls65%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls50%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.