Remo vs Botafogo

Remo46%
Draw28%
Botafogo26%

1.31 expected goals for Remo

1.07 expected goals for Botafogo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Remo has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Botafogo win at 26%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 11.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Remo or draw74%
Draw or Botafogo54%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.1 expected

6.6 for Remo and 4.5 for Botafogo

Over 8.5 corners71%
Over 9.5 corners61%
Over 10.5 corners52%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.6 for Remo and 2.2 for Botafogo

Over 3.5 cards54%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

29.3 expected

15.2 for Remo and 14.1 for Botafogo

Over 20.5 shots88%
Over 22.5 shots81%
Over 24.5 shots72%

Fouls

24.5 expected

11.6 for Remo and 12.9 for Botafogo

Over 20.5 fouls76%
Over 22.5 fouls63%
Over 24.5 fouls48%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.