Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Wednesday 28 October, 21:30

Final score

San Jose Earthquakes2-2Colorado Rapids

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a San Jose Earthquakes win (45%).

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids

  1. San Jose Earthquakes45%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Colorado Rapids27%

1.41 expected goals for San Jose Earthquakes

1.20 expected goals for Colorado Rapids

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

San Jose Earthquakes has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Colorado Rapids win at 27%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.5 for San Jose Earthquakes and 4.4 for Colorado Rapids

  1. Over 8.5 corners61%
  2. Over 9.5 corners50%
  3. Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.4 for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.3 for Colorado Rapids

  1. Over 3.5 cards50%
  2. Over 4.5 cards31%
  3. Over 5.5 cards17%

Shots

25.6 expected

14.7 for San Jose Earthquakes and 11.0 for Colorado Rapids

  1. Over 20.5 shots76%
  2. Over 22.5 shots66%
  3. Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

24.9 expected

11.4 for San Jose Earthquakes and 13.5 for Colorado Rapids

  1. Over 20.5 fouls79%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls66%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls51%

Saved before kickoff, on 28 October at 20:39 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.