Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City

Minnesota United FC60%
Draw19%
Sporting Kansas City21%

2.77 expected goals for Minnesota United FC

1.47 expected goals for Sporting Kansas City

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Minnesota United FC the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 4.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 68%. And about 10.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
Over 2.5 goals71%It happened
Over 3.5 goals61%It happened
Over 4.5 goals42%It did not happen

Both teams score68%
Minnesota United FC or draw80%
Draw or Sporting Kansas City40%
No draw81%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.5 expected

5.7 for Minnesota United FC and 4.8 for Sporting Kansas City

Over 8.5 corners66%
Over 9.5 corners56%
Over 10.5 corners46%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.5 for Minnesota United FC and 2.2 for Sporting Kansas City

Over 3.5 cards50%
Over 4.5 cards31%
Over 5.5 cards17%

Shots

29.3 expected

17.7 for Minnesota United FC and 11.5 for Sporting Kansas City

Over 20.5 shots88%
Over 22.5 shots81%
Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

21.5 expected

10.6 for Minnesota United FC and 10.9 for Sporting Kansas City

Over 20.5 fouls56%
Over 22.5 fouls40%
Over 24.5 fouls27%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 07:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.