Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Wednesday 28 October, 19:30

Final score

Chicago Fire2-2Orlando City SC

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a Chicago Fire win (47%).

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC

  1. Chicago Fire47%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Orlando City SC30%

2.28 expected goals for Chicago Fire

2.02 expected goals for Orlando City SC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Chicago Fire has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Orlando City SC win at 30%. It expects 4.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance, and both teams scoring, 74%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals72%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals62%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals43%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

6.1 for Chicago Fire and 3.9 for Orlando City SC

  1. Over 8.5 corners62%
  2. Over 9.5 corners52%
  3. Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.1 for Chicago Fire and 2.3 for Orlando City SC

  1. Over 3.5 cards63%
  2. Over 4.5 cards44%
  3. Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

28.6 expected

17.6 for Chicago Fire and 11.0 for Orlando City SC

  1. Over 20.5 shots86%
  2. Over 22.5 shots78%
  3. Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

25.4 expected

13.7 for Chicago Fire and 11.7 for Orlando City SC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls81%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls69%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls55%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 07:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.