Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Wednesday 28 October, 19:30

Final score

FC Dallas0-2Columbus Crew

The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a FC Dallas win (47%).

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew

  1. FC Dallas47%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Columbus Crew27%

1.86 expected goals for FC Dallas

1.51 expected goals for Columbus Crew

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

FC Dallas has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Columbus Crew win at 27%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 63%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals62%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals44%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals25%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

4.9 for FC Dallas and 5.5 for Columbus Crew

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.8 for FC Dallas and 2.5 for Columbus Crew

  1. Over 3.5 cards60%
  2. Over 4.5 cards41%
  3. Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

27.4 expected

14.7 for FC Dallas and 12.7 for Columbus Crew

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots74%
  3. Over 24.5 shots63%

Fouls

23.8 expected

12.3 for FC Dallas and 11.4 for Columbus Crew

  1. Over 20.5 fouls72%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls58%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 07:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.