Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Wednesday 28 October, 19:30

Final score

Nashville SC0-0Philadelphia Union

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Nashville SC win (52%).

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union

  1. Nashville SC52%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Philadelphia Union22%

1.84 expected goals for Nashville SC

1.16 expected goals for Philadelphia Union

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Nashville SC has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Philadelphia Union win at 22%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.1 for Nashville SC and 4.2 for Philadelphia Union

  1. Over 8.5 corners55%
  2. Over 9.5 corners44%
  3. Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.7 for Nashville SC and 2.3 for Philadelphia Union

  1. Over 3.5 cards57%
  2. Over 4.5 cards38%
  3. Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

26.8 expected

15.3 for Nashville SC and 11.5 for Philadelphia Union

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots71%
  3. Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

25.1 expected

12.3 for Nashville SC and 12.8 for Philadelphia Union

  1. Over 20.5 fouls79%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls67%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 07:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.