Toronto FC vs DC United

Toronto FC52%
Draw25%
DC United23%

1.96 expected goals for Toronto FC

1.24 expected goals for DC United

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Toronto FC has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a DC United win at 23%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
Over 2.5 goals60%It happened
Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Both teams score60%
Toronto FC or draw77%
Draw or DC United48%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.2 for Toronto FC and 5.0 for DC United

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.6 for Toronto FC and 2.3 for DC United

Over 3.5 cards54%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

29.1 expected

14.6 for Toronto FC and 14.5 for DC United

Over 20.5 shots88%
Over 22.5 shots80%
Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

24.2 expected

11.9 for Toronto FC and 12.3 for DC United

Over 20.5 fouls75%
Over 22.5 fouls61%
Over 24.5 fouls46%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.