Saturday 24 October, 21:30
Final score
Portland Timbers3-2Charlotte
The model's most likely result happened: a Portland Timbers win (38%).
Portland Timbers vs Charlotte
- Portland Timbers38%
- Draw26%
- Charlotte36%
1.53 expected goals for Portland Timbers
1.90 expected goals for Charlotte
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 63%. And about 10.3 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals45%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals26%It happened
- Both teams score63%
- Portland Timbers or draw64%
- Draw or Charlotte62%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.3 expected
5.9 for Portland Timbers and 4.5 for Charlotte
- Over 8.5 corners65%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners45%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.8 for Portland Timbers and 2.1 for Charlotte
- Over 3.5 cards55%
- Over 4.5 cards35%
- Over 5.5 cards20%
Shots
31.1 expected
20.7 for Portland Timbers and 10.3 for Charlotte
- Over 20.5 shots91%
- Over 22.5 shots85%
- Over 24.5 shots77%
Fouls
21.1 expected
9.6 for Portland Timbers and 11.6 for Charlotte
- Over 20.5 fouls53%
- Over 22.5 fouls38%
- Over 24.5 fouls24%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.