Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Saturday 24 October, 21:30

Final score

San Diego2-2Seattle Sounders

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a San Diego win (40%).

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders

  1. San Diego40%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Seattle Sounders34%

1.54 expected goals for San Diego

1.75 expected goals for Seattle Sounders

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals61%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals42%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals24%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

6.1 for San Diego and 4.8 for Seattle Sounders

  1. Over 8.5 corners69%
  2. Over 9.5 corners60%
  3. Over 10.5 corners50%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for San Diego and 2.2 for Seattle Sounders

  1. Over 3.5 cards58%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

28.8 expected

14.7 for San Diego and 14.1 for Seattle Sounders

  1. Over 20.5 shots87%
  2. Over 22.5 shots79%
  3. Over 24.5 shots70%

Fouls

22.5 expected

9.8 for San Diego and 12.7 for Seattle Sounders

  1. Over 20.5 fouls64%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls48%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.