Saturday 24 October, 19:30
Final score
Real Salt Lake3-0St. Louis City
The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a St. Louis City win (38%).
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City
- Real Salt Lake36%
- Draw26%
- St. Louis City38%
1.45 expected goals for Real Salt Lake
1.91 expected goals for St. Louis City
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 10.3 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals61%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals43%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals25%It did not happen
- Both teams score62%
- Real Salt Lake or draw62%
- Draw or St. Louis City63%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.3 expected
5.5 for Real Salt Lake and 4.8 for St. Louis City
- Over 8.5 corners65%
- Over 9.5 corners54%
- Over 10.5 corners44%
Cards
4.3 expected
1.9 for Real Salt Lake and 2.5 for St. Louis City
- Over 3.5 cards63%
- Over 4.5 cards44%
- Over 5.5 cards27%
Shots
26.7 expected
14.3 for Real Salt Lake and 12.4 for St. Louis City
- Over 20.5 shots81%
- Over 22.5 shots71%
- Over 24.5 shots60%
Fouls
26.0 expected
11.4 for Real Salt Lake and 14.6 for St. Louis City
- Over 20.5 fouls84%
- Over 22.5 fouls72%
- Over 24.5 fouls59%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.