Probably Football

Matches

Major League Soccer (USA)

Saturday 24 October, 18:30

Final score

DC United0-2FC Cincinnati

The model gave this result 37%. Its most likely result was a DC United win (39%).

DC United vs FC Cincinnati

  1. DC United39%
  2. Draw24%
  3. FC Cincinnati37%

1.82 expected goals for DC United

2.23 expected goals for FC Cincinnati

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 69% chance, and both teams scoring, 71%. And about 10.7 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals69%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals58%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals38%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.7 expected

5.1 for DC United and 5.6 for FC Cincinnati

  1. Over 8.5 corners68%
  2. Over 9.5 corners58%
  3. Over 10.5 corners48%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for DC United and 2.2 for FC Cincinnati

  1. Over 3.5 cards58%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

30.6 expected

13.9 for DC United and 16.8 for FC Cincinnati

  1. Over 20.5 shots91%
  2. Over 22.5 shots85%
  3. Over 24.5 shots77%

Fouls

20.8 expected

9.8 for DC United and 11.0 for FC Cincinnati

  1. Over 20.5 fouls51%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls35%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls22%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.