Thursday 29 October, 12:00
Peña Sport vs Huesca
- Peña Sport34%
- Draw16%
- Huesca50%
1.44 expected goals for Peña Sport
1.26 expected goals for Huesca
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Peña Sport
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Peña Sport attack−5%
- Huesca defence0%
Expected goals1.44
Huesca
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Huesca attack−13%
- Peña Sport defence+7%
Expected goals1.26
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%
- Over 1.5 goals76%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Over 3.5 goals29%
- Over 4.5 goals14%
- Both teams score48%
- Peña Sport or draw50%
- Draw or Huesca66%
- No draw84%
Saved before kickoff, on 29 October at 08:02 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.