Thursday 29 October, 13:30
FC Midtjylland vs Odense
- FC Midtjylland43%
- Draw14%
- Odense43%
1.73 expected goals for FC Midtjylland
0.94 expected goals for Odense
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
FC Midtjylland
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- FC Midtjylland attack+124%
- Odense defence−49%
Expected goals1.73
Odense
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Odense attack+66%
- FC Midtjylland defence−59%
Expected goals0.94
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%
- Over 1.5 goals75%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Over 3.5 goals28%
- Over 4.5 goals13%
- Both teams score52%
- FC Midtjylland or draw57%
- Draw or Odense57%
- No draw86%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.0 expected
5.4 for FC Midtjylland and 4.6 for Odense
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners51%
- Over 10.5 corners41%
Cards
3.6 expected
1.4 for FC Midtjylland and 2.2 for Odense
- Over 3.5 cards50%
- Over 4.5 cards30%
- Over 5.5 cards16%
Shots
27.3 expected
14.1 for FC Midtjylland and 13.2 for Odense
- Over 20.5 shots83%
- Over 22.5 shots74%
- Over 24.5 shots63%
Fouls
24.4 expected
11.3 for FC Midtjylland and 13.0 for Odense
- Over 20.5 fouls76%
- Over 22.5 fouls62%
- Over 24.5 fouls47%
Saved before kickoff, on 29 October at 08:02 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.