Thursday 29 October, 12:00
Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq
- Al Taawon31%
- Draw26%
- Al-Ettifaq43%
1.16 expected goals for Al Taawon
1.36 expected goals for Al-Ettifaq
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Al Taawon
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Al Taawon attack+9%
- Al-Ettifaq defence−30%
Expected goals1.16
Al-Ettifaq
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Al-Ettifaq attack+37%
- Al Taawon defence−27%
Expected goals1.37
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%
- Over 1.5 goals72%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Over 3.5 goals25%
- Over 4.5 goals11%
- Both teams score55%
- Al Taawon or draw57%
- Draw or Al-Ettifaq69%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.3 expected
5.0 for Al Taawon and 4.3 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 8.5 corners55%
- Over 9.5 corners44%
- Over 10.5 corners34%
Cards
4.3 expected
1.8 for Al Taawon and 2.5 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 3.5 cards62%
- Over 4.5 cards43%
- Over 5.5 cards26%
Shots
23.5 expected
11.7 for Al Taawon and 11.8 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 20.5 shots66%
- Over 22.5 shots54%
- Over 24.5 shots41%
Fouls
22.2 expected
10.6 for Al Taawon and 11.7 for Al-Ettifaq
- Over 20.5 fouls62%
- Over 22.5 fouls46%
- Over 24.5 fouls31%
Saved before kickoff, on 28 October at 21:43 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.