Thursday 29 October, 12:00
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm
- Al Khaleej Saihat32%
- Draw26%
- Al-Hazm42%
1.27 expected goals for Al Khaleej Saihat
1.43 expected goals for Al-Hazm
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Al Khaleej Saihat
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Al Khaleej Saihat attack+12%
- Al-Hazm defence−25%
Expected goals1.27
Al-Hazm
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Al-Hazm attack+17%
- Al Khaleej Saihat defence−10%
Expected goals1.43
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%
- Over 1.5 goals76%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Over 3.5 goals29%
- Over 4.5 goals14%
- Both teams score57%
- Al Khaleej Saihat or draw58%
- Draw or Al-Hazm68%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.8 expected
6.4 for Al Khaleej Saihat and 4.4 for Al-Hazm
- Over 8.5 corners69%
- Over 9.5 corners59%
- Over 10.5 corners49%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.4 for Al Khaleej Saihat and 2.3 for Al-Hazm
- Over 3.5 cards52%
- Over 4.5 cards33%
- Over 5.5 cards18%
Shots
25.7 expected
15.1 for Al Khaleej Saihat and 10.6 for Al-Hazm
- Over 20.5 shots77%
- Over 22.5 shots66%
- Over 24.5 shots54%
Fouls
23.5 expected
10.8 for Al Khaleej Saihat and 12.7 for Al-Hazm
- Over 20.5 fouls70%
- Over 22.5 fouls56%
- Over 24.5 fouls41%
Saved before kickoff, on 28 October at 21:43 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.