Friday 30 October, 20:00
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro
- FC Juarez33%
- Draw28%
- Club Queretaro39%
1.19 expected goals for FC Juarez
1.51 expected goals for Club Queretaro
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
FC Juarez
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- FC Juarez attack−13%
- Club Queretaro defence−10%
Expected goals1.19
Club Queretaro
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Club Queretaro attack−16%
- FC Juarez defence+32%
Expected goals1.51
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%
- Over 1.5 goals76%
- Over 2.5 goals51%
- Over 3.5 goals29%
- Over 4.5 goals14%
- Both teams score56%
- FC Juarez or draw61%
- Draw or Club Queretaro66%
- No draw72%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.4 expected
6.0 for FC Juarez and 4.4 for Club Queretaro
- Over 8.5 corners65%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners45%
Cards
4.4 expected
2.1 for FC Juarez and 2.3 for Club Queretaro
- Over 3.5 cards64%
- Over 4.5 cards44%
- Over 5.5 cards28%
Shots
25.2 expected
13.5 for FC Juarez and 11.7 for Club Queretaro
- Over 20.5 shots75%
- Over 22.5 shots63%
- Over 24.5 shots52%
Fouls
24.3 expected
12.5 for FC Juarez and 11.8 for Club Queretaro
- Over 20.5 fouls75%
- Over 22.5 fouls62%
- Over 24.5 fouls47%
Saved before kickoff, on 29 October at 08:02 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.